Global Diseases Index (GD) — spreading of global diseases — measured by the summarized number of people (millions per year) who died of cancer, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease (paralysis), HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria. During the following twenty two years they expect a considerable growth of mortality as a result of all global diseases, especially of HIV/AIDS, with some decrease of mortality due to tuberculosis and malaria. In particular, the mortality of HIV/AIDS is going to increase from 2.2 million in 2008 up to 6.5 million in 2030. During this period four main global diseases will be ischemic cardiac disease, cerebrovascular disease, HIV/AIDS and lung cancer. The total mortality due to smoking will increase from 5.8 million people in 2008 up to 6.4 million in 2015 and up to 8.3 million in 2030. Thus, it is expected that in 2015 tobacco will kill by 50 % more people than HIV/AIDS, and 10 % of the total mortality will be determined by tobacco smoking.
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