Analytical Reports

Foresight 2018: analysis of the training and retraining of specialists in the natural and technical direction, based on the goals of sustainable socioeconomic development of Ukraine by 2025 (Ukrainian)

2018

Foresight 2018: analysis of the training and retraining of specialists in the natural and technical direction, based on the goals of sustainable socioeconomic development of Ukraine by 2025 (Ukrainian)

Report preview image

Proceeding from the main objective of the socio-economic development of Ukraine until 2025, an analysis of the available human capital in the country through the cross-cutting levels of training: general secondary school, vocational training, and a high school) was performed. An estimation of the gap between the available and necessary human capital for achievement of the set of goals in the national and sectorial contexts has been made. The ability of scientific and pedagogical schools of Ukraine to carry out training of human capital in accordance with the group of criteria of international cooperation of labor is researched. The sequence of governmental actions aimed at ensuring high-tech development of the country in the medium-term (by 2020) and long-term (by 2030) is proposed.

Foresight 2018: systemic world conflicts and global forecast for XXI century

2018

Foresight 2018: systemic world conflicts and global forecast for XXI century

Report preview image

The generalization and formalization of approaches to the recognition of C-waves of global systemic conflicts through big historical data have been carried out and general concept of description and interpretation of these waves has been proposed. On the basis of intellectual analysis of big data on the conflicts, taking place since 750 B.C. up to now, have been analyzed and their general pattern has been revealed. There has been made an attempt to foresee the next global conflict called the conflict of the XXI century. Its nature and main characteristics have been analyzed. The hypotheses for a metric relation between the global periodic processes, namely between the sequence of 11-year cycles of solar activity, so called Kondratieff cycles of the development of the global economy, and the process of evolutionary structuration of the family of the C-waves of global systemic conflicts have been formulated. There has also been made an attempt to predict these processes in the XXI century by using a metric approach. The possible scenarios of the development of the conflict of the XXI century have been constructed and analyzed. The research paper is designated to the scientists and experts in the field of national security, state administration and sustainable development.

Part 2: Ukraine in the sustainable development indicator analysis

2017

Part 2: Ukraine in the sustainable development indicator analysis

Report preview image

Part 1: Global analysis of quality of life and security of life

2017

Part 1: Global analysis of quality of life and security of life

Report preview image

Analysis of socio-economic processes of knowledge-based society development (in Ukrainian)

2016

Analysis of socio-economic processes of knowledge-based society development (in Ukrainian)

Report preview image

Foresight and construction of the strategies of socio-economic development of Ukraine in the mid-term (up to 2020) and long-term (up to 2030) time horizons

2016

Foresight and construction of the strategies of socio-economic development of Ukraine in the mid-term (up to 2020) and long-term (up to 2030) time horizons

Report preview image

The methodology was improved and the complex of works fulfilled on the foresight of future economy of Ukraine for mid-term (2020) and long-term (2030) time horizons. The 8 scenarios of socio-economic development of Ukraine through 2030 were specified using the methodology of scenario planning and SWOT-analysis. Applying the Delphi and SWOT analysis techniques has allowed carry out a new wide-ranging expert study of the socio-economic segment of society and provide the estimation of the availability of human capital, which is capable to make needed transformation in the country. Also fifty major actions of the government were built in the form of socio-economic development in the medium and long term. These results may be used by decision makers at the state level, civil society institutions and international organizations for defining rational policy and constructive plans of social and economic development of Ukraine for mid-term and long-term time prospects.

Short annotation can be found here.

Foresight of Ukrainian Economy: mid-term (2015–2020) and long-term (2020–2030) time horizons (Revised Edition)

2015

Foresight of Ukrainian Economy: mid-term (2015–2020) and long-term (2020–2030) time horizons (Revised Edition)

Report preview image

The methodology was considered and a complex of works fulfilled on the foresight of future economy of Ukraine for mid-term (2015–2020) and long-term (2020–2030) time horizons. By using Delphi method the main clusters of the new economy of Ukraine were identified which could ensure successful integration of the country into international cooperation of labor on the indicated time horizons.
Applying the scenario planning methodology and SWOT-analysis has allowed build up a group of scenarios for development of future economy in Ukraine up to 2030. These scenarios may be used by decision makers at the state level, civil society institutions and international organizations for defining rational policy and constructive plans of social and economic development of Ukraine for mid-term and long-term time prospects.
The second edition includes suggestions and comments made during the public discussions of the research.
Link to the Ukrainian version.